Monday 5 December 2016

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Sunday 4 December 2016

The day that all Europe is looking for the polls results.

4th December 2016



Today Europe is waiting impatiently for the pools results in Italy and Austria. With the tremendus rise of far-right parties in several EU members states, and just weeks after Trump's astonish victory in the USA, Europe's biggest ally, the fear of the beginning of a new era for Europe is imminente. If far-rights parties win tonight, it seems a new challenge for the EU. A new one to add to a long list of challenges that the EU must face it in the coming year.

Italy is now helding a constitutional referendum. Indeed, leaving the EU is not in question here, though depending on today's polls result, Italy can express a strong sweeping trend. "If "yes" vote wins, impressive reforms on the constitutional will succeed. The changes include an impressive reduction of power of the senate, as well as a new regulation allowing the regional lawmakers to choose the senators who serve. If the Italian Prime minister Matteo Renzi do not succeed in convincing the population of Italy by winning the "yes" vote, then an unprecedent event can happen in Italy. Italy is one of the initial 6 countries that formed in the 50's what today is the European Union and during the years the eurosceptic parties came and go. Yet, the victore of the "no" vote can encourage an increase of populism in Italy which has been leading by both a radical populist group Five Star Movement, as well as the far-right group Northern League. All Europe is watching these referendum uneasy.

In the meantime, in Austria, citizens are going to vote for the Presidential elections. The country seemed divided on the recent polls projections showing a very close election result between the liberal Alexander Van der Bellen and the far-right leader Norbert Hofer. And EU citizens are watching closely this elections. If the Freedom Party of Austria (FPO) leading by Norbert Hofer wins today, Europe can have the first EU far-right leader since World World II. This Presidential Candidate has expressed many controversial opinions on several sensitive issue for the EU. He said that would call for a national referendum on the EU, depending on the coming Brexit developments. In addition, he is a strong supporter of anti-immigrant and anti-refugees measures.

For now, the EU citizens can only wait for the polls results of these two member states that will be known soon, wishing the best for the future of Europe. But even if the results will not reveal the victory of far-right parties in Austria and Italy, the threat of the rise of populism in Europe is clearly real.